Continuation Pattern

Pennant

The pennant is a continuation pattern where price consolidates in a small symmetrical triangle after a strong impulse move before resuming the trend.

M15H1H4
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How to Identify

01

A strong, steep impulse move forms the flagpole — this is mandatory for a valid pennant

02

Price consolidates in a small symmetrical triangle with converging trendlines

03

The consolidation is compact — typically lasting 5 to 20 candles

04

Volume decreases significantly during the pennant formation

05

The pennant retraces no more than 38-50% of the flagpole

06

The breakout occurs in the direction of the flagpole with a volume surge

Trading Rules

Entry Rules

  1. Enter when price breaks out of the pennant in the direction of the flagpole with a confirmed candle close
  2. Conservative entry: wait for a retest of the broken pennant trendline
  3. Confirm the breakout with a volume increase compared to the pennant consolidation
  4. Trade pennants during high-liquidity sessions for better follow-through
  5. Avoid entries if the pennant has lasted more than 25 candles — the momentum signal has weakened

Exit Rules

  1. Primary target: the flagpole length projected from the breakout point
  2. Take partial profit at 1:1 risk-to-reward and trail the remainder
  3. Exit if price falls back inside the pennant after breaking out
  4. Consider closing ahead of major economic releases if the trade is near target
Target Calculation

Measure the flagpole length from the start of the impulse move to the apex of the pennant. Project that distance from the breakout point in the direction of the trend.

Stop Placement

Place stop loss on the opposite side of the pennant from the breakout. For bullish pennants, below the lowest point of the pennant. For bearish pennants, above the highest point.

Success Rate

66%

Success rates vary based on market conditions, timeframe, and trader experience. Always validate patterns with your own journal data.

Journaling Tips

01

Record the flagpole length — this is your target measurement

02

Note the pennant's duration in candles — shorter is generally better

03

Track the pennant's retracement depth as a percentage of the flagpole

04

Log whether the breakout had volume confirmation

05

Compare pennant trades with flag trades to see which continuation pattern works better for you

What Is the Pennant Pattern?

The pennant is a continuation pattern that signals a brief pause in strong momentum before the trend resumes. It looks like a small symmetrical triangle preceded by a steep impulse move — the flagpole.

Think of it as the market catching its breath. After a powerful move, short-term traders take profit, creating a brief consolidation. But the underlying momentum is still intact, and once the consolidation tightens enough, price breaks out and continues in the original direction.

Pennants are closely related to flag patterns — both are continuation patterns with flagpoles and measured move targets. The difference is the shape of the consolidation: flags form rectangular channels while pennants form symmetrical triangles.

How to Identify the Pennant

The Flagpole

The flagpole is non-negotiable. Without a strong preceding impulse move, you do not have a pennant — you have a symmetrical triangle, which follows different rules and has different reliability.

A valid flagpole should be:

  • A sharp, near-vertical price move
  • Accompanied by above-average volume or momentum
  • Clearly distinguishable as an impulse leg on the chart

The Pennant Formation

After the flagpole, price enters a tight consolidation:

  • Shape: A small symmetrical triangle with converging trendlines — one sloping down (connecting the lower highs) and one sloping up (connecting the higher lows)
  • Duration: 5 to 20 candles. Pennants are short-lived by nature. If the consolidation extends beyond 25 candles, the pattern loses its continuation bias
  • Retracement: The pennant should retrace no more than 38-50% of the flagpole. Deeper retracements suggest the impulse momentum is fading
  • Volume: Should decline progressively during the consolidation, indicating that the counter-trend activity lacks conviction

Bullish vs Bearish Pennants

FeatureBullish PennantBearish Pennant
FlagpoleStrong upward impulseStrong downward impulse
PennantSmall symmetrical triangleSmall symmetrical triangle
Expected breakUpwardDownward
EntryLong on upper trendline breakShort on lower trendline break

Trading Rules

Entry

Enter when price breaks out of the pennant in the direction of the flagpole. A valid breakout requires a candle closing outside the pennant boundary — not just a wick through it.

Volume should increase on the breakout candle. A breakout on declining volume suggests the move may lack follow-through and is more likely to fail.

The conservative approach is to wait for a retest of the broken trendline after the breakout. This gives better entries but risks missing fast-moving breakouts.

Target

The measured move target uses the flagpole length, just like flag patterns:

  1. Measure the flagpole from the start of the impulse move to the start of the pennant consolidation
  2. Project that distance from the breakout point in the trend direction

For example, if a bullish pennant has a 100-pip flagpole and the breakout occurs at 1.2500, the target is 1.2600.

This is a minimum target — price can extend beyond the measured move, especially in strong trends. But the measured move gives you a specific level for profit-taking or partial exits.

Stop Placement

Place your stop on the opposite side of the pennant:

  • Bullish pennant: Stop below the lowest point of the pennant formation
  • Bearish pennant: Stop above the highest point of the pennant formation

Because pennants are compact, the stop distance is often small relative to the target, producing favorable risk-to-reward ratios — often 2:1 or better.

Journaling This Pattern

Pennants provide a concentrated data set for analysis because of their clear structure and measurable variables.

For each pennant trade, record:

  • Direction: Bullish or bearish
  • Flagpole length: In pips
  • Pennant duration: Number of candles
  • Retracement depth: How deep did the pennant retrace into the flagpole?
  • Volume profile: Did volume decline during the pennant and surge on the breakout?
  • Breakout timing: Which session did the breakout occur in?
  • Pair: Which currency pair?
  • Measured move achieved: Did price reach the full target?

Compare your pennant results with your flag results. You may find that one continuation pattern consistently outperforms the other in your trading. PipJournal makes this comparison simple by letting you tag and filter trades by pattern type.

Also track the relationship between pennant duration and outcome. Your data may show that pennants lasting fewer than 10 candles produce significantly better results than those lasting 15-20 candles — confirming that tighter consolidations preserve more of the flagpole’s momentum.

Common Mistakes

Confusing pennants with symmetrical triangles. The defining feature of a pennant is the flagpole. A symmetrical triangle that forms without a preceding impulse move is not a pennant and should not be traded with pennant rules. Symmetrical triangles can break either direction; pennants have a strong directional bias.

Extended consolidation. If the pennant lasts more than 25 candles, the momentum from the flagpole has likely dissipated. These extended pennants have lower breakout success rates. Set a candle limit and pass on setups that exceed it.

Low-volume breakouts. A breakout without volume confirmation is a warning sign. The volume surge on the breakout indicates that fresh momentum is entering the market, supporting the continuation. Without it, the breakout may be a false move.

Entering inside the pennant. The tight consolidation makes it tempting to enter early, anticipating the breakout direction. But the pennant can break either way — and entering early without confirmation increases your loss rate unnecessarily.

When It Fails

Pennants fail when price breaks the opposite trendline from the expected direction. A bullish pennant that breaks downward, or a bearish pennant that breaks upward, signals that the trend has reversed.

Conditions that increase failure risk:

  • Flagpole driven by a news spike that was fully retraced
  • Pennant retracing more than 50% of the flagpole
  • Extended consolidation beyond 25 candles
  • A major support or resistance level blocking the expected breakout direction

Failed pennants can produce strong reversal moves. The trapped traders on the wrong side create forced exits that fuel the reversal. Some traders actively trade failed pennants as reversal setups.

Record every failed pennant in PipJournal with the conditions that preceded the failure. Over time, you will build a filter that helps you avoid low-quality setups and focus on the pennants that work best in your trading.

Track your pennant trades with precision. PipJournal calculates your pattern-specific success rates, segments performance by pair and session, and delivers AI-powered coaching — $179 lifetime, no recurring fees.

Common Mistakes

Confusing a pennant with a symmetrical triangle — pennants require a preceding flagpole and are much shorter in duration

Trading pennants that consolidate for too long — extended consolidation suggests the impulse momentum has faded

Entering before the pennant breakout, anticipating the direction

Ignoring volume — a breakout on low volume is more likely to fail

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between a pennant and a flag?

Both are continuation patterns with a flagpole, but the consolidation shape differs. A flag consolidates in a rectangular channel that slopes against the trend. A pennant consolidates in a small symmetrical triangle with converging trendlines. Both use the flagpole for target calculation.

What is the difference between a pennant and a symmetrical triangle?

A pennant requires a preceding flagpole (a strong impulse move) and forms quickly — usually within 5 to 20 candles. A symmetrical triangle can form independently without a flagpole and typically develops over a much longer period. The trading rules and targets also differ.

How reliable are pennant patterns in forex?

Pennant patterns have approximately a 66% success rate when properly identified. The key factors are a clear flagpole, compact consolidation, declining volume, and a confirmed breakout with a volume increase. PipJournal tracks your personal success rate with pennants.

How do I set the target for a pennant trade?

Measure the flagpole from the start of the impulse move to where the pennant consolidation begins. Project that distance from the pennant breakout point in the direction of the trend.

Can pennants break in the wrong direction?

Yes. While pennants typically break in the trend direction, they can break the opposite way. A pennant that breaks against the flagpole direction is a strong reversal signal. Journal these failures to understand the conditions that cause them.

What timeframes work best for pennant patterns?

Pennants are effective on M15, H1, and H4 charts. They are intraday continuation patterns that work well for day traders and short-term swing traders. On daily charts, what looks like a pennant is often better classified as a symmetrical triangle.

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